New polling data shows dead-heat races in 12 Senate seats that will determine control of the upper chamber in the 2026 midterms, with neither party holding a clear advantage nationally.

Key Battlegrounds

Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania are within 2 points in multiple polls. Republican-held seats in Texas and Florida are unexpectedly competitive, while Democrats defend vulnerable positions in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Spending

Combined spending on Senate races has already surpassed $2 billion with seven months until Election Day, on pace to shatter all previous midterm records.